June 06 2025

The Mortgage Bankers Association’s (MBA) latest survey showed a pullback in mortgage applications, with rates dipping slightly after a three-week climb. The week’s numbers were also affected by the Memorial Day holiday, contributing to larger unadjusted declines. Still, the broader trend remains intact, with purchase demand continuing to outperform last year despite short-term rate volatility. “Most mortgage rates moved lower last week, with the 30-year fixed rate declining to 6.92 percent and staying in the 6.8 to 7 percent range since April,” said Joel Kan, MBA’s Vice President and Deputy Chief Economist. He noted that purchase applications remain 18 percent higher than the same week last year, driven in part by a modest rise in FHA activity. Meanwhile, refinance activity fell again, and the average refi loan size dropped to the lowest level since July 2024, suggesting borrowers are still holding out for better rates. Seasonally adjusted refinance applications fell 4 percent from the previous week, while purchase apps also declined 4 percent. On an unadjusted basis, both categories dropped by 15 percent, though the year-over-year numbers remain solid: purchases are up 18 percent and refis are up 42 percent versus this time in 2024. Mortgage Rate Summary:

May 30 2025

The National Association of Realtors' Pending Home Sales Index (PHSI)—which tracks contract signings on existing homes—has spent more than two years stuck in a rut, held back by affordability constraints and the lingering impact of elevated mortgage rates. April's update didn’t do the market any favors, but it also didn’t tell us anything particularly new. Pending sales dropped by 6.3% in April, marking the sharpest monthly decline since mid-2022 . The index fell to 71.3 , its third-lowest level on record , and is now 2.5% lower than a year ago . That sounds like a big move—and it is, on paper—but zooming out, the broader trend remains one of stagnation. We’re still very much bouncing around at the bottom of a severely depressed range that’s held steady for the better part of a year. “With mortgage rates still hovering around 7%, home sales are stagnant as more homebuyers remain on the sidelines,” said NAR Chief Economist Lawrence Yun. “There are job additions and income gains, but consumers are hesitant to move without meaningful rate relief. Increasing inventory and lowering mortgage rates will get more buyers and sellers back into the market.”

May 30 2025

The Mortgage Bankers Association's (MBA) weekly application survey continues to track closely with the more granular daily rate data from MND. Both showed mortgage rates climbing to new multi-month highs last week, and that upward momentum once again took a toll on refinance demand—even as purchase applications managed to grind higher. “Mortgage rates reached [their] highest level since January, following higher Treasury yields,” said Joel Kan, MBA’s Vice President and Deputy Chief Economist. “Additional market volatility has added to the increase, keeping the mortgage-Treasury spread wider than it was earlier this year. The 30-year fixed rate increased to 6.98 percent, its third consecutive weekly increase.” Kan noted that while refis dropped, purchases continue to outperform year-ago levels thanks in part to rising inventory. That aligns with the broader data: refinance applications fell 7 percent from the previous week, while purchase applications rose 3 percent. Compared to the same week one year ago, purchases are up 18 percent and refis are still running 37 percent ahead—though that year-over-year gap is narrowing. Mortgage Rate Summary From MBA's data: 30yr Fixed: 6.98% (+0.06) | Points: 0.67 (−0.02) Jumbo 30yr: 6.93% (−0.01) | Points: 0.69 (−0.03) FHA: 6.66% (+0.06) | Points: 0.95 (−0.01) 15yr Fixed: 6.23% (+0.02) | Points: 0.67 (−0.05) 5/1 ARM: 6.22% (+0.06) | Points: 0.46 (+0.10)